The Argun Knot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Mongolian): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2025-07-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1066 | 52% | 2021-01-16 | Won |
| 1069 | 1096 | 46% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1082.7 vs 1086 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).