Clearing Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (31 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-11-30 | | Lost |
| 925 | 966 | 44% | 2024-01-02 | | Lost |
| 966 | 925 | 56% | 2023-12-31 | | Won |
| 925 | 1000 | 39% | 2023-07-06 | D | Lost |
| 1092 | 1000 | 63% | 2023-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-06 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2021-11-26 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2021-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2021-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-11-24 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2020-08-02 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-11-07 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2018-07-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2018-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-26 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-22 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2015-08-21 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1006 | 79% | 2014-10-22 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-12-26 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 959 | 61% | 2010-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2010-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-03-08 | | Lost |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2009-11-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1004.2 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).