Clearing Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 907 | 55% | 2024-01-02 | Lost |
| 907 | 941 | 45% | 2023-12-31 | Won |
| 941 | 1071 | 32% | 2023-07-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1172 | 48% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 971 | 54% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 893 | 876 | 52% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 881 | 830 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1117 | 59% | 2021-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1158 | 27% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 898 | 837 | 59% | 2020-08-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-11-15 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1090 | 67% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 881 | 631 | 81% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
| 984 | 907 | 61% | 2018-07-06 | Won |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 959 | 1071 | 34% | 2018-03-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-09-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-12-26 | Won |
| 959 | 1071 | 34% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1069 | 42% | 2010-04-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 959 | 61% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1069 | 1011 | 58% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 829 | 829 | 50% | 2009-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 995.9 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).