Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (13 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (Filipino): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1016 | 54% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1059 | 44% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 885 | 985 | 36% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1037 | 68% | 2024-01-25 | Tied |
| 1003 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1063 | 48% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1117 | 38% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 905 | 74% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1188 | 824 | 89% | 2018-06-17 | Won |
| 919 | 1103 | 26% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1075 | 60% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1025.3 has a 55.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).