Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (9 on the archive and 140 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (Polish): 81
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 816 | 90% | 2024-12-03 | Won |
| 1046 | 967 | 61% | 2023-09-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1071 | 34% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 939 | 969 | 46% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2022-12-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 1009 | 64% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2018-05-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1033 | 53% | 2013-10-16 | Lost |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2013-05-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 987.1 has a 55.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).