Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1036 | 61% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1068 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1136 | 1195 | 42% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 844 | 1023 | 26% | 2011-08-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 981 | 68% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1081.9 has a 44.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).