Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2023-09-28 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1051 | 58% | 2021-02-07 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1187 | 41% | 2015-07-08 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2013-12-09 | | Won |
| 829 | 1147 | 14% | 2011-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 981 | 69% | 1998-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.7 vs 1095.3 has a 39.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).