Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 959 | 71% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1168 | 46% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 836 | 1022 | 26% | 2011-08-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1057.7 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).