Bloody Bois Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-12-23 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 939 | 66% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 1191 | 50% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1193 | 1196 | 50% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1063 | 1098 | 45% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1081 | 1242 | 28% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1220 | 916 | 85% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1067 | 947 | 67% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 953 | 54% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 975 | 889 | 62% | 2012-07-31 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1045 | 46% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1020 | 41% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 976 | 59% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1020 | 50% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 953 | 1078 | 33% | 2010-08-27 | Won |
| 916 | 1010 | 37% | 2010-08-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1206 | 28% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-04-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 984 | 60% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 984 | 60% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 2010-03-21 | Won |
| 1122 | 987 | 69% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 1118 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1041.5 has a 51.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).