Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 176 (55 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 96
Defender wins (German): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2026-06-14 | | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2026-05-19 | | Won |
| 928 | 1000 | 40% | 2025-11-10 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1136 | 36% | 2025-11-09 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1151 | 46% | 2025-05-01 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1078 | 36% | 2024-07-23 | D | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-12-11 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1068 | 51% | 2021-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1170 | 56% | 2021-01-09 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-01-05 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2020-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2020-10-18 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1018 | 77% | 2020-05-27 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1218 | 40% | 2020-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2019-11-30 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-10-12 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2019-07-27 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2019-07-13 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-11-02 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1134 | 50% | 2018-10-25 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2018-07-31 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | | Won |
| 986 | 1008 | 47% | 2016-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1035 | 84% | 2016-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2016-01-23 | | Won |
| 1074 | 876 | 76% | 2016-01-23 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-06-13 | | Won |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 983 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | | Won |
| 997 | 1003 | 49% | 2014-02-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2014-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-11-15 | | Lost |
| 965 | 808 | 71% | 2013-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-10-27 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 808 | 81% | 2013-10-05 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1275 | 32% | 2013-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-04-09 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1145 | 46% | 2012-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-06-02 | | Won |
| 1348 | 1435 | 38% | 2011-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-04-15 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2011-03-20 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1047 | 72% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1162 | 47% | 2010-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1116 | 79% | 2010-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1080 | 45% | 2010-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1095.7 vs 1048.6 has a 56.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).