Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 22
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1070 | 1059 | 52% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1310 | 29% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1056 | 44% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1108 | 1029 | 61% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 900 | 1028 | 32% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1003 | 78% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 1023 | 1219 | 24% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1302 | 992 | 86% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 988 | 978 | 51% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1195 | 1090 | 65% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 995 | 1002 | 49% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1161 | 43% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1254 | 1029 | 79% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1004 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1004 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1195 | 1050 | 70% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1061 | 51% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 945 | 830 | 66% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1244 | 1061 | 74% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 830 | 79% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1204 | 26% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1066 | 42% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1079 | 1102 | 47% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1278 | 1405 | 32% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1302 | 1028 | 83% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 841 | 74% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1302 | 33% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1028 | 67% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1023 | 83% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 932 | 1302 | 11% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1024 | 882 | 69% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1278 | 1079 | 76% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1024 | 48% | 2010-10-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1096.1 vs 1058 has a 55.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).