Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 22
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 955 | 1049 | 37% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1078 | 1059 | 53% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1056 | 44% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1029 | 58% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 1147 | 46% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 900 | 1009 | 35% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1003 | 78% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1316 | 992 | 87% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 978 | 54% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1079 | 69% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1002 | 49% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1254 | 1029 | 79% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1004 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1004 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1195 | 1061 | 68% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1086 | 47% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 945 | 831 | 66% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1244 | 1086 | 71% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1086 | 831 | 81% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 1228 | 27% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1066 | 42% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1121 | 1106 | 52% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1285 | 1407 | 33% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1316 | 1028 | 84% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 841 | 78% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1316 | 31% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1023 | 84% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 932 | 1316 | 10% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1014 | 883 | 68% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1121 | 72% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1026 | 48% | 2010-10-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1104 vs 1065.6 has a 55.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).