Counterattack at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1087 | 38% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 1182 | 26% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1092 | 40% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1080 | 952 | 68% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1227 | 45% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1021 | 995 | 54% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 901 | 1165 | 18% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1216 | 1127 | 63% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2019-06-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 987 | 848 | 69% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 1221 | 28% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1193 | 1025 | 72% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1020 | 1046 | 46% | 2018-08-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1080 | 28% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 1076 | 38% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1087 | 1090 | 50% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1039 | 53% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 1087 | 1143 | 42% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1099 | 60% | 2014-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1084 | 51% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 969 | 1087 | 34% | 2013-10-16 | Lost |
| 952 | 1055 | 36% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-10-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1146 | 44% | 2012-07-25 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2012-04-01 | Won |
| 991 | 1056 | 41% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1170 | 57% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 1170 | 57% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1008 | 1035 | 46% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2011-04-05 | Won |
| 1212 | 1094 | 66% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 1078 | 42% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 866 | 70% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 980 | 66% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1099 | 80% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1221 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1052.3 has a 54.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).