Road to Buin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 856 | 878 | 47% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1099 | 1060 | 56% | 2022-04-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 964 | 64% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1050 | 1033 | 52% | 2010-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 983.8 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).