Not So Disposed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (17 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Italian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
893 | 1000 | 35% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
959 | 1178 | 22% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
1065 | 1027 | 55% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
881 | 1071 | 25% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
1142 | 1082 | 59% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
959 | 1071 | 34% | 2018-04-30 | Lost |
989 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
1058 | 911 | 70% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
1026 | 1107 | 39% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
881 | 1071 | 25% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
1046 | 1094 | 43% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-27 | Lost |
983 | 1044 | 41% | 2011-08-04 | Lost |
1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1084.4 has a 45.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).