Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 954 | 35% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1119 | 51% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 998 | 58% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 940 | 52% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 964 | 52% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 964 | 999 | 45% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 964 | 1076 | 34% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 964 | 960 | 51% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1040 | 51% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1251 | 73% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 872 | 890 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1242 | 969 | 83% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 1208 | 52% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1060 | 42% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 928 | 884 | 56% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 1244 | 20% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1253 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1131 | 35% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 907 | 61% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1131 | 35% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1276 | 1140 | 69% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1029 | 52% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1214 | 55% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1040 | 52% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1052.2 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).