Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1091 | 45% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 940 | 52% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 927 | 63% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 1020 | 64% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 931 | 57% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 931 | 999 | 40% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 931 | 1084 | 29% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 931 | 959 | 46% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1073 | 46% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1340 | 61% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 890 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1029 | 81% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 1144 | 57% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1006 | 1059 | 42% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 962 | 907 | 58% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1244 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1113 | 36% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1014 | 75% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1255 | 1151 | 65% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1010 | 53% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1213 | 68% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1073 | 48% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1060.8 has a 51.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).