Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1064 | 49% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 870 | 62% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1064 | 941 | 67% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 909 | 60% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 909 | 999 | 37% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 909 | 1065 | 29% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 909 | 960 | 43% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1118 | 40% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1329 | 18% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 890 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1052 | 80% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1269 | 1135 | 68% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 979 | 998 | 47% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 941 | 1243 | 15% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1044 | 1243 | 24% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1254 | 1152 | 64% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1213 | 66% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1118 | 41% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1059 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).