Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 946 | 38% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1093 | 45% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 940 | 52% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1103 | 960 | 69% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 973 | 51% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 973 | 999 | 46% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1178 | 971 | 77% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1078 | 35% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 973 | 960 | 52% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1333 | 62% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 890 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1051 | 80% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1215 | 1157 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1059 | 42% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 962 | 887 | 61% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 960 | 1243 | 16% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1244 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 928 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1204 | 805 | 91% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1255 | 1152 | 64% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1002 | 55% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1213 | 67% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1050 | 51% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1050.4 has a 52.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).