Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1042 | 49% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 883 | 60% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 945 | 66% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 927 | 57% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 927 | 997 | 40% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 927 | 1059 | 32% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 927 | 960 | 45% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1055 | 1079 | 47% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1302 | 20% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 889 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1050 | 68% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1310 | 1178 | 68% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 966 | 60% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 1102 | 39% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 945 | 1243 | 15% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 1242 | 22% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 936 | 57% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 865 | 83% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1042 | 56% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1213 | 63% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1055 | 1079 | 47% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1050 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).