Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 883 | 928 | 44% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 921 | 1079 | 29% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1061 | 47% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 949 | 1045 | 37% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1043 | 50% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1205 | 30% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 755 | 1310 | 4% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1307 | 1239 | 60% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1117 | 1203 | 38% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 924 | 993 | 40% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1150 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1102 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1042 | 1084 | 44% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1158 | 40% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 986 | 988 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1050 | 918 | 68% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1195 | 1061 | 68% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1302 | 12% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1159 | 70% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1066 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 940 | 889 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 865 | 69% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1084 | 49% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1042 | 46% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1113 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 848 | 966 | 34% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1098 | 56% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 907 | 69% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1110 | 75% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1028 | 62% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1138 | 983 | 71% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1058.7 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).