Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1023 | 39% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 975 | 982 | 49% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 1077 | 33% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1052 | 51% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 957 | 1039 | 38% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1008 | 51% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1037 | 50% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 786 | 1350 | 4% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1093 | 43% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1039 | 845 | 75% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1305 | 1247 | 58% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1119 | 1117 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 920 | 927 | 49% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 938 | 979 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1101 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1044 | 54% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1215 | 979 | 80% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1204 | 34% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1096 | 918 | 74% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1189 | 40% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 1052 | 60% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1330 | 10% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1354 | 1098 | 81% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1079 | 1170 | 37% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 941 | 890 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1089 | 55% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 934 | 60% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1079 | 48% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1106 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1100 | 48% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 999 | 30% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1034 | 59% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1122 | 37% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1334 | 1110 | 78% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1030 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1033 | 56% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1070 | 60% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 841 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1059 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).