Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 928 | 52% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1072 | 43% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1054 | 43% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 990 | 59% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 731 | 1151 | 8% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1194 | 35% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1032 | 911 | 67% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1307 | 1247 | 59% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1118 | 1279 | 28% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 975 | 1044 | 40% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1109 | 1101 | 51% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1164 | 971 | 75% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1143 | 32% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 927 | 64% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1340 | 10% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1137 | 52% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 942 | 890 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1090 | 55% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 986 | 53% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1028 | 56% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1037 | 47% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1106 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1153 | 1100 | 58% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 894 | 43% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1229 | 25% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1143 | 34% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1110 | 79% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1031 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1038 | 68% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1095 | 48% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1122 | 1095 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1070.3 has a 47.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).