Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 213 (49 on the archive and 165 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 104
Defender wins (Russian): 109
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1435 | 16% | 2026-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1046 | 70% | 2026-04-05 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2023-06-20 | A | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2022-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2022-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-04-01 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1138 | 9% | 2022-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1152 | 36% | 2022-03-19 | | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2021-07-26 | | Won |
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2021-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1284 | 16% | 2021-06-20 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2021-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1032 | 67% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-01-08 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1051 | 54% | 2017-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 970 | 73% | 2017-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1231 | 21% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2016-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-08-29 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2016-08-05 | | Won |
| 945 | 1219 | 17% | 2016-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2014-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-08-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2013-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2013-02-07 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2012-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1108 | 53% | 2012-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2012-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2012-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-03-31 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2012-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1022 | 62% | 2012-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1022 | 73% | 2011-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1092 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1183 | 37% | 2011-10-07 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1058.4 has a 50.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).