Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 928 | 52% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 918 | 1075 | 29% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1072 | 41% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1055 | 42% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1055 | 991 | 59% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 756 | 1180 | 8% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1170 | 37% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1307 | 1247 | 59% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1119 | 1256 | 31% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 992 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1152 | 1032 | 67% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1094 | 52% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1056 | 53% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1200 | 26% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1228 | 24% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1144 | 1072 | 60% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 958 | 1252 | 16% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1147 | 55% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1140 | 37% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1023 | 57% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 941 | 891 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 980 | 54% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1046 | 54% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1107 | 53% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1154 | 1101 | 58% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 928 | 39% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1024 | 1144 | 33% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1111 | 69% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1031 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1105 | 47% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1077.8 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).