Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1434 | 16% | 2026-06-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1021 | 72% | 2026-04-05 | Won |
| 940 | 928 | 52% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1042 | 50% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 991 | 59% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 746 | 1238 | 6% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1113 | 45% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1306 | 1246 | 59% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 1225 | 34% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1152 | 1032 | 67% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1094 | 52% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 1044 | 51% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1051 | 54% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1208 | 25% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 993 | 984 | 51% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 968 | 1230 | 18% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1025 | 65% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 958 | 1231 | 17% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1155 | 62% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1342 | 1054 | 84% | 2014-06-22 | Won |
| 1044 | 1140 | 37% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 943 | 890 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1121 | 1108 | 52% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1044 | 49% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1051 | 45% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1107 | 53% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1153 | 1101 | 57% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 885 | 45% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1229 | 29% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 968 | 1143 | 27% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1131 | 35% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1114 | 66% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1032 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1092 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1080.2 has a 47.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).