Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (22 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 995 | 1062 | 40% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 952 | 66% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 927 | 1095 | 28% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 963 | 64% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1117 | 31% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-10-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2017-01-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 948 | 65% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 983 | 892 | 63% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1019 | 1144 | 33% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1049.3 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).