Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1033 | 1062 | 46% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 974 | 68% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 891 | 886 | 51% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 928 | 1100 | 27% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1191 | 893 | 85% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1176 | 44% | 2018-10-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 987 | 57% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 949 | 894 | 58% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1195 | 40% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1147 | 34% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1039.8 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).