Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1069 | 1062 | 51% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1004 | 60% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 891 | 879 | 52% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 928 | 1109 | 26% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1008 | 978 | 54% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2018-10-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1043 | 988 | 58% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 931 | 1170 | 20% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1187 | 42% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 1149 | 33% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1055.6 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).