Overrun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Canadian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1283 | 14% | 2021-09-07 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1154 | 26% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 901 | 1283 | 10% | 2015-03-29 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1001 | 77% | 2015-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2012-11-02 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1147 | 25% | 2012-10-02 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1101 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1143 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1087.7 has a 43.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).