Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (19 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1070 | 57% | 2023-10-30 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2018-05-28 | | Won |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2017-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 959 | 65% | 2017-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2014-07-25 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2014-07-17 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2014-03-04 | | Won |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2014-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2014-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-01-26 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2014-01-20 | | Tied |
| 1127 | 1080 | 57% | 2013-11-21 | | Won |
| 991 | 1070 | 39% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1082.1 vs 1041.7 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).