Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (19 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1062 | 54% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 954 | 1283 | 13% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1024 | 962 | 59% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 943 | 1140 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 952 | 68% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 981 | 80% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1122 | 1072 | 57% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 987 | 1068 | 39% | 2014-01-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1081 | 56% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 978 | 1075 | 36% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1055.4 has a 55.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).