Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (18 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1093 | 47% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 889 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 943 | 1152 | 23% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 967 | 74% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1131 | 741 | 90% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1195 | 40% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 1063 | 39% | 2014-01-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1065 | 58% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1050 | 38% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1024.7 has a 56.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).