Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (6 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1004 | 45% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 920 | 1083 | 28% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1019 | 72% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1094 | 50% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1118 | 1114 | 51% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 809 | 75% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1020.5 has a 53.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).