Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (6 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 21
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1035 | 1139 | 35% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1057 | 45% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 932 | 1108 | 27% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1211 | 1183 | 54% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1040.8 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).