To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 970 | 74% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2022-10-22 | Won |
| 1132 | 1031 | 64% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1227 | 33% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 698 | 989 | 16% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1140 | 44% | 2015-05-28 | Won |
| 875 | 1107 | 21% | 2013-11-21 | Lost |
| 863 | 1008 | 30% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983 vs 1051.9 has a 40.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).