To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2024-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2022-10-22 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1025 | 65% | 2020-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2019-11-24 | | Won |
| 699 | 990 | 16% | 2016-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2015-05-28 | | Won |
| 875 | 1108 | 21% | 2013-11-21 | | Lost |
| 863 | 1008 | 30% | 2013-04-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 971.1 vs 1005.5 has a 45.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).