To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (9 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 921 | 970 | 43% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-10-22 | Won |
| 1124 | 1064 | 59% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1064 | 59% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 735 | 976 | 20% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1140 | 56% | 2015-05-28 | Won |
| 881 | 1096 | 22% | 2013-11-21 | Lost |
| 863 | 987 | 33% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 997 vs 1049 has a 42.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).