Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (9 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 910 | 66% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1039 | 1213 | 27% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1277 | 1143 | 68% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1186 | 47% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1060 | 1112 | 43% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1090.1 vs 1031.7 has a 58.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).