The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (6 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 40
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1054 | 42% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 911 | 1203 | 16% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
| 953 | 879 | 60% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1108 | 52% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 952 | 1126 | 27% | 2013-09-04 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 991.8 vs 1081.7 has a 37.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).