Tanambogo Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1131 | 44% | 2022-06-16 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1131 | 53% | 2022-06-16 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1137.3 has a 41.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).