Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 152 (47 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 76
Defender wins (British): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 896 | 50% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1008 | 858 | 70% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1041 | 82% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1256 | 756 | 95% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1146 | 49% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 963 | 61% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1037 | 1198 | 28% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1216 | 27% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1216 | 27% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1024 | 54% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1140 | 27% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 932 | 63% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1058 | 1008 | 57% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2016-01-03 | Won |
| 979 | 1071 | 37% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1081 | 875 | 77% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2014-11-18 | Won |
| 1145 | 1032 | 66% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1024 | 66% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1032 | 70% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 1121 | 37% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2014-04-24 | Won |
| 1225 | 979 | 80% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1032 | 39% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 878 | 55% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1117 | 54% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1046.7 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).