Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 145 (41 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 76
Defender wins (British): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1170 | 50% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 748 | 1272 | 5% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1040 | 82% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1272 | 748 | 95% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1168 | 1143 | 54% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 970 | 927 | 56% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 963 | 69% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 925 | 1209 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 925 | 1209 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1011 | 50% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1058 | 1008 | 57% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 958 | 1066 | 35% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1104 | 1099 | 51% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1014 | 913 | 64% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1107 | 39% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1145 | 1056 | 63% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1187 | 32% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1146 | 1073 | 60% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1056 | 65% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 958 | 1132 | 27% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 958 | 77% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1056 | 36% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1058 | 62% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1058 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).