Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (45 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 75
Defender wins (British): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1196 | 46% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1047 | 864 | 74% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 734 | 1282 | 4% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1041 | 81% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1282 | 734 | 96% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1201 | 1143 | 58% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 967 | 1100 | 32% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1103 | 997 | 65% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1037 | 1203 | 28% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1133 | 44% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 925 | 1216 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 925 | 1216 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 1006 | 58% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1067 | 76% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1080 | 882 | 76% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2014-11-18 | Won |
| 1145 | 1003 | 69% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1103 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1079 | 36% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 905 | 1040 | 31% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1188 | 30% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 905 | 69% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1003 | 72% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1003 | 1120 | 34% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 1266 | 1117 | 70% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2014-04-24 | Won |
| 1196 | 1266 | 40% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1003 | 43% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 879 | 55% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1079 | 59% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1055.7 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).