Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 153 (48 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 76
Defender wins (British): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 895 | 49% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1203 | 46% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1041 | 82% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1225 | 746 | 94% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1179 | 1151 | 54% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 966 | 1117 | 30% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1021 | 964 | 58% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1037 | 1113 | 39% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1035 | 62% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 965 | 1140 | 27% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1028 | 50% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1007 | 58% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1031 | 50% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2016-01-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1071 | 44% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1080 | 875 | 76% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1051 | 51% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2014-11-18 | Won |
| 1139 | 1097 | 56% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1083 | 43% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1136 | 1035 | 64% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1097 | 61% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1097 | 1131 | 45% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1143 | 34% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2014-04-24 | Won |
| 1203 | 1028 | 73% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1097 | 31% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 924 | 48% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1129 | 52% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
| 1342 | 1162 | 74% | 2014-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1060.6 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).