The Montiguidi Mambo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (11 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1060 | 43% | 2026-04-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1217 | 23% | 2026-04-03 | Won |
| 1196 | 1153 | 56% | 2026-04-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2025-05-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 943 | 1084 | 31% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 980 | 999 | 47% | 2015-04-23 | Lost |
| 891 | 1136 | 20% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1127 | 53% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1096.5 has a 42.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).