Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (28 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1034 | 73% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 879 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 993 | 53% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 917 | 1292 | 10% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 978 | 1003 | 46% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1085 | 66% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 958 | 62% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 954 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1094 | 65% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1117 | 958 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 858 | 86% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1117 | 958 | 71% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1089 | 66% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1216 | 929 | 84% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1340 | 1315 | 54% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1340 | 18% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1133 | 44% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1419 | 1282 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1137 | 958 | 74% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1109.9 vs 1051.9 has a 58.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).