Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (30 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1151 | 48% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1036 | 78% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 928 | 67% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 994 | 53% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 904 | 1307 | 9% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1087 | 62% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1170 | 1084 | 62% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1089 | 1098 | 49% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 891 | 1125 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1075 | 69% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1180 | 929 | 81% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1252 | 1316 | 41% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1252 | 28% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1140 | 41% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1006 | 63% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1423 | 1281 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1200 | 1023 | 73% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1110.4 vs 1068.5 has a 56.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).