Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (30 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1163 | 46% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1035 | 69% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 890 | 1306 | 8% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1087 | 64% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 984 | 58% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 1037 | 37% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1073 | 66% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 994 | 1099 | 35% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 890 | 1129 | 20% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1040 | 73% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1220 | 930 | 84% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1234 | 1318 | 38% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1234 | 31% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1136 | 37% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1007 | 68% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1430 | 1290 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1208 | 952 | 81% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1141 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1105.9 vs 1068.6 has a 55.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).