Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1017 | 906 | 65% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1103 | 66% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 933 | 999 | 41% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 933 | 999 | 41% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1103 | 879 | 78% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1130 | 30% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1103 | 56% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1216 | 34% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1276 | 19% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1154 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1102 | 49% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 707 | 958 | 19% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1067.6 has a 45.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).