Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 919 | 64% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 951 | 999 | 43% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 951 | 999 | 43% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1016 | 66% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1215 | 24% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1254 | 25% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1154 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1106 | 48% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 754 | 958 | 24% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.5 vs 1044.9 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).