Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1205 | 44% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1114 | 869 | 80% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1227 | 37% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 880 | 68% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1063 | 50% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 966 | 47% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 1071 | 1205 | 32% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 862 | 72% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 889 | 68% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1077 | 52% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1087 | 56% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.1 vs 1045.2 has a 55.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).