Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1131 | 55% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1013 | 70% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 826 | 81% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1234 | 39% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1029 | 55% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 966 | 58% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1131 | 35% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 862 | 82% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 890 | 80% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1042 | 58% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 969 | 71% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1101 vs 1001 has a 64.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).