Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 22
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1131 | 55% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1198 | 843 | 89% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1233 | 35% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 966 | 47% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 1016 | 1131 | 34% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1065 | 861 | 76% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 890 | 73% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1051 | 61% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1078 vs 1030.3 has a 56.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).