Helluva Patrol Leader
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (37 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (German): 82
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1285 | 1046 | 80% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1076 | 39% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 882 | 61% | 2022-05-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-04-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 966 | 63% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 945 | 63% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1032 | 47% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2019-02-13 | Won |
| 926 | 1165 | 20% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 918 | 67% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1062 | 925 | 69% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 926 | 973 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 914 | 1017 | 36% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 1010 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 910 | 993 | 38% | 2016-10-16 | Won |
| 927 | 896 | 54% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 969 | 1241 | 17% | 2016-06-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1219 | 15% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 2016-04-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1170 | 34% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
| 1266 | 1059 | 77% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2015-12-15 | Won |
| 913 | 1128 | 22% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1242 | 29% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1099 | 65% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 982 | 80% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1058 | 60% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2015-09-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 1131 | 33% | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1039.8 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).