Helluva Patrol Leader
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 156 (40 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 69
Defender wins (German): 86
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1342 | 1007 | 87% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1040 | 991 | 57% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2022-05-13 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2022-04-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 1283 | 14% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 999 | 54% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 1040 | 947 | 63% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1219 | 949 | 83% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1035 | 49% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2019-02-13 | Won |
| 942 | 1035 | 37% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 916 | 68% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1051 | 930 | 67% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 942 | 972 | 46% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 915 | 1023 | 35% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 984 | 988 | 49% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1081 | 1010 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2016-10-16 | Won |
| 921 | 897 | 53% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 987 | 1177 | 25% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 875 | 1217 | 12% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2016-04-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1198 | 31% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
| 1256 | 1059 | 76% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2015-12-15 | Won |
| 913 | 1089 | 27% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1243 | 27% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1121 | 64% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1226 | 981 | 80% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 917 | 1140 | 22% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1098 | 56% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 981 | 61% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2015-09-16 | Won |
| 1057 | 1032 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1047.6 has a 51.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).