Helluva Patrol Leader
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (37 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (German): 82
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1278 | 965 | 86% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 975 | 1126 | 30% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 882 | 61% | 2022-05-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-04-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 971 | 62% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1061 | 45% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1049 | 44% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 999 | 52% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 945 | 63% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1032 | 57% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1096 | 1303 | 23% | 2019-02-13 | Won |
| 926 | 1164 | 20% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1042 | 918 | 67% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1061 | 925 | 69% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 926 | 973 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 914 | 1005 | 37% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 1010 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 961 | 1024 | 41% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1190 | 1072 | 66% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 911 | 964 | 42% | 2016-10-16 | Won |
| 933 | 896 | 55% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 969 | 1155 | 26% | 2016-06-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1219 | 15% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 983 | 52% | 2016-04-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1160 | 36% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
| 1208 | 1059 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1142 | 53% | 2015-12-15 | Won |
| 912 | 1074 | 28% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1243 | 25% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1099 | 65% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 982 | 80% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1023 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1072 | 61% | 2015-09-16 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1051 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).