Helluva Patrol Leader
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (39 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 69
Defender wins (German): 85
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1342 | 1068 | 83% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1059 | 998 | 59% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2022-05-13 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-04-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 965 | 63% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 999 | 52% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 1040 | 947 | 63% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1219 | 949 | 83% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1035 | 48% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2019-02-13 | Won |
| 926 | 1030 | 35% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 917 | 63% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 930 | 68% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 926 | 972 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 914 | 953 | 44% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1082 | 1010 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1113 | 953 | 72% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 913 | 919 | 49% | 2016-10-16 | Won |
| 929 | 897 | 55% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 987 | 1196 | 23% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 882 | 1217 | 13% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 984 | 60% | 2016-04-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1212 | 29% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
| 1242 | 1059 | 74% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2015-12-15 | Won |
| 913 | 1091 | 26% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1244 | 27% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1122 | 64% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 916 | 1151 | 21% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1078 | 60% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1206 | 953 | 81% | 2015-09-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1118 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1044.7 has a 51.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).