Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (11 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Belgian): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 937 | 61% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
937 | 1012 | 39% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
802 | 1168 | 11% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
969 | 961 | 51% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
780 | 1043 | 18% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
1046 | 1083 | 45% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
1284 | 1146 | 69% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
987 | 1126 | 31% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
931 | 1037 | 35% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
1144 | 1017 | 68% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
1307 | 943 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.1 vs 1043 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).