Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (18 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Belgian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1049 | 45% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1080 | 43% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 967 | 1115 | 30% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1041 | 46% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1015 | 54% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 762 | 1043 | 17% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 890 | 62% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 918 | 1061 | 31% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 996 | 1028 | 45% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 947 | 1127 | 26% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1203 | 43% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 927 | 1018 | 37% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1131 | 967 | 72% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 1123 | 23% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1333 | 943 | 90% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1015 vs 1067.1 has a 42.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).