Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (23 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Belgian): 46
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1313 | 1133 | 74% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 988 | 61% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1006 | 47% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1019 | 60% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 998 | 1113 | 34% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 940 | 55% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1058 | 28% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1218 | 1189 | 54% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1213 | 40% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 929 | 1028 | 36% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 967 | 42% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1234 | 944 | 84% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024 vs 1042.6 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).