Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (23 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Belgian): 61
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1313 | 1161 | 71% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1061 | 933 | 68% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1035 | 58% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 961 | 1133 | 27% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 986 | 58% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1040 | 42% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 780 | 997 | 22% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 940 | 55% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 910 | 1034 | 33% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1077 | 40% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1125 | 63% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1121 | 39% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1213 | 40% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 929 | 1028 | 36% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1041 | 64% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 1030 | 34% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1239 | 944 | 85% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1030.1 vs 1041.3 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).