Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (26 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (American): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1214 | 993 | 78% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1261 | 1170 | 63% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1148 | 1090 | 58% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 810 | 1148 | 13% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 937 | 71% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1017 | 1028 | 48% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1205 | 1156 | 57% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1205 | 21% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1205 | 857 | 88% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1192 | 28% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 987 | 1006 | 47% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1027 | 1083 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 1158 | 30% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1272 | 994 | 83% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1034 | 51% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 938 | 1076 | 31% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 961 | 1026 | 41% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1133 | 989 | 70% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1214 | 981 | 79% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1108 | 32% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1062.8 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).