Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (28 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1181 | 40% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1268 | 1149 | 66% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 747 | 1268 | 5% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 930 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1164 | 45% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1025 | 46% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1268 | 35% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1114 | 949 | 72% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1329 | 983 | 88% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1059 | 51% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 946 | 1052 | 35% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1268 | 33% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 1220 | 40% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1111 | 43% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1036 | 59% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1084 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).