Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (28 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1000 | 60% | 2023-03-19 | | Won |
| 949 | 1046 | 36% | 2021-07-17 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-04-15 | | Won |
| 1085 | 944 | 69% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1085 | 32% | 2020-10-23 | | Lost |
| 933 | 954 | 47% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2019-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1067 | 1000 | 60% | 2019-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2018-07-12 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 958 | 60% | 2018-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1251 | 1000 | 81% | 2017-06-10 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1144 | 29% | 2016-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2016-04-02 | | Won |
| 1081 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-03-16 | | Won |
| 949 | 998 | 43% | 2016-01-27 | | Won |
| 1176 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
| 976 | 1018 | 44% | 2015-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1052 | 45% | 2015-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1106 | 1066 | 56% | 2015-10-05 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1008.2 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).