Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (22 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1013 | 58% | 2026-05-09 | Lost |
| 1434 | 1179 | 81% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 945 | 959 | 48% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1021 | 56% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 945 | 50% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1225 | 59% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1225 | 52% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1250 | 26% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 973 | 1037 | 41% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 986 | 945 | 56% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 909 | 70% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 1004 | 1097 | 37% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
| 1225 | 996 | 79% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1025 | 51% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 948 | 993 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1231 | 18% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
| 1021 | 1027 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
| 1163 | 1226 | 41% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1129 | 994 | 69% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1150 | 61% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1081.7 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).