Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (21 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1258 | 1082 | 73% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 1112 | 1058 | 58% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 968 | 55% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1158 | 30% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1118 | 34% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1118 | 60% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 953 | 1243 | 16% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 995 | 51% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1112 | 34% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 935 | 76% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1166 | 28% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1067 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 948 | 1180 | 21% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
| 1017 | 945 | 60% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
| 1163 | 1166 | 50% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 989 | 994 | 49% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1166 | 1150 | 52% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1072.2 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).