Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (16 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 857 | 1000 | 31% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 924 | 888 | 55% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1077 | 60% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 954 | 868 | 62% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1066 | 995 | 60% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 906 | 984 | 39% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1103 | 888 | 78% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 967 | 948 | 53% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1127 | 1094 | 55% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1070 | 818 | 81% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1005 | 1153 | 30% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1211 | 24% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 988 | 76% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1128 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 841 | 1135 | 16% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1019.9 vs 1002.9 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).