Raff's Rules
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (22 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 60
Defender wins (German): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
945 | 986 | 44% | 2023-10-01 | Won |
904 | 993 | 37% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
1307 | 1245 | 59% | 2022-06-09 | Tied |
1112 | 924 | 75% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
1292 | 941 | 88% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
1028 | 1001 | 54% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
1083 | 1163 | 39% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
1062 | 1175 | 34% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
1087 | 982 | 65% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
1055 | 992 | 59% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2018-10-22 | Won |
1307 | 974 | 87% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
998 | 946 | 57% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
1197 | 1327 | 32% | 2018-02-13 | Lost |
1104 | 1278 | 27% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
1020 | 983 | 55% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
1087 | 1046 | 56% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
1013 | 1023 | 49% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
904 | 993 | 37% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1033.3 has a 54.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).