Bolder Than Before
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (20 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (Partisan (Ukrainian)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2026-06-07 | Won |
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 1198 | 1004 | 75% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-03-09 | Won |
| 1128 | 997 | 68% | 2022-02-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 940 | 69% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | Won |
| 928 | 884 | 56% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 951 | 980 | 46% | 2020-04-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1125 | 48% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1216 | 1134 | 62% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1128 | 992 | 69% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 1060 | 41% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1175 | 1050 | 67% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1127 | 38% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1275 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1086.2 vs 1058.7 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).