Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 1050 | 22% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 860 | 1030 | 27% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 945 | 74% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1062 | 59% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 952 | 1047 | 37% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 990 vs 1022.3 has a 45.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).