Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 729 | 1052 | 13% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 947 | 1031 | 38% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 918 | 75% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1064 | 59% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 947 | 1144 | 24% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 988.7 vs 1027.9 has a 44.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).