Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 983 | 21% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1031 | 52% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 968 | 68% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1042 | 61% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 888 | 1133 | 20% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1066 | 934 | 68% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.1 vs 1040 has a 45.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).