Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 1080 | 19% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 748 | 1030 | 16% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1106 | 897 | 77% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1128 | 50% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 965 | 1087 | 33% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 966.3 vs 1036.1 has a 40.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).