Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 1033 | 1052 | 47% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 985 | 65% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 919 | 61% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1112 | 47% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 1246 | 15% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 921 | 1059 | 31% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1112 | 31% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1072.4 has a 44.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).