Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1051 | 66% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 948 | 1050 | 36% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1132 | 999 | 68% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1077 | 40% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1034 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 970 | 1079 | 35% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1050 | 67% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1143 | 50% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1065.7 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).