Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1062 | 1053 | 51% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
924 | 1017 | 37% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
1034 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
987 | 1104 | 34% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
904 | 1017 | 34% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
1008 | 1145 | 31% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 986.5 vs 1074.7 has a 37.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).