Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Polish): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 1164 | 16% | 2026-10-27 | | Lost |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-03-02 | D | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-03-12 | | Won |
| 1132 | 999 | 68% | 2022-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1077 | 40% | 2020-07-09 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-06-20 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1134 | 28% | 2018-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1040.6 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).