Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1136 | 999 | 69% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1066 | 42% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1035 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 969 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1143 | 46% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1047.8 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).