Up the Liri Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (31 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 56
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1050 | 62% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 1137 | 951 | 74% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1009 | 35% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 929 | 1195 | 18% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1083 | 49% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 1195 | 904 | 84% | 2022-06-16 | Lost |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 788 | 1029 | 20% | 2021-02-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-10-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1003 | 78% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 993 | 1005 | 48% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 971 | 55% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1011 | 891 | 67% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 1044 | 1012 | 55% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 922 | 1045 | 33% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1117 | 1080 | 55% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1120 | 45% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1166 | 29% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1213 | 929 | 84% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 1110 | 31% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1266 | 39% | 2018-03-18 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2018-01-18 | Won |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2017-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1052.4 has a 52.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).