A Small Stack and a Schnapps
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2021-06-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 1038 | 63% | 2021-06-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1003 | 55% | 2019-08-25 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1038 | 75% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 1113 | 65% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1172 | 56% | 2018-10-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 1263 | 33% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2018-03-04 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1225 | 52% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1122.3 vs 1113.1 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).