The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (French): 2
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2025-08-11 | | Won |
| 1113 | 1001 | 66% | 2024-06-06 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2018-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-06-24 | | Won |
| 956 | 1064 | 35% | 2018-06-24 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1134 | 28% | 2018-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 967 | 72% | 2018-05-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1056.9 has a 47.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).