The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-06-27 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1223 | 53% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1141 | 49% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 955 | 1086 | 32% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 1199 | 910 | 84% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1088 has a 45.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).