The Last Drive
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1333 | 12% | 2023-04-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1027 | 45% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 954 | 1135 | 26% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1130 | 43% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 877 | 1198 | 14% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2020-02-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1073 | 54% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.4 vs 1126.6 has a 35.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).