Mars Begins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2022-07-05 | Won |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2022-01-24 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 949 | 868 | 61% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2019-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1115.6 vs 997.2 has a 66.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).