Mars Begins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2022-07-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 995 | 75% | 2022-01-24 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 868 | 62% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 1181 | 961 | 78% | 2019-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1107 vs 995.6 has a 65.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).