Take It Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (21 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1030 | 41% | 2023-01-04 | Won |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-10-25 | Won |
| 969 | 1010 | 44% | 2022-10-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-01-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 962 | 53% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 961 | 62% | 2021-08-30 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1011 | 55% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 1036 | 37% | 2021-01-24 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1056 | 52% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1056 | 52% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1126 | 32% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1038 | 69% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1214 | 860 | 88% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 1141 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1093 | 1113 | 47% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 1051 | 860 | 75% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 1149 | 860 | 84% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 860 | 73% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 860 | 73% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1015.8 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).