Take It Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (21 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2023-01-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-10-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1017 | 43% | 2022-10-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-01-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 979 | 50% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 1032 | 961 | 60% | 2021-08-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 989 | 49% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 936 | 1028 | 37% | 2021-01-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1056 | 49% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1056 | 49% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1103 | 37% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1014 | 77% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 984 | 61% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1109 | 1141 | 45% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 1086 | 1014 | 60% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 1206 | 1014 | 75% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1053.2 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).