Late for Chow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (37 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 50
Defender wins (American): 65
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1021 | 39% | 2026-06-15 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1147 | 49% | 2026-05-03 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2026-03-19 | Won |
| 1271 | 1271 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 953 | 57% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1037 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 880 | 891 | 48% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1031 | 68% | 2023-12-26 | Lost |
| 872 | 865 | 51% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 946 | 1057 | 35% | 2022-12-06 | Won |
| 1149 | 1021 | 68% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 998 | 1107 | 35% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 982 | 1431 | 7% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-05-04 | Won |
| 983 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2022-02-07 | Won |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 924 | 868 | 58% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1172 | 50% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1036 | 59% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 1117 | 30% | 2020-08-28 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1226 | 49% | 2020-07-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1045 | 59% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 1005 | 38% | 2020-05-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1151 | 44% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2019-12-09 | Won |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2019-11-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1140 | 56% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1109 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1072.6 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).