Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 946 | 991 | 44% | 2023-10-12 | Won |
| 1041 | 1104 | 41% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1041 | 78% | 2022-09-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 951 | 45% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1257 | 16% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 952 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 1028 | 1130 | 36% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1070 | 1057 | 52% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1059.9 has a 47.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).