Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 271 (15 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 143
Defender wins (German): 128
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-02-05 | | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-11-20 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-03-27 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1039 | 71% | 2024-07-23 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-11-14 | A | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-10-12 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 996 | 78% | 2022-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2022-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-12-29 | | Lost |
| 966 | 935 | 54% | 2021-05-23 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1121 | 44% | 2021-05-23 | | Won |
| 987 | 976 | 52% | 2021-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1056 | 55% | 2020-05-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1012.3 has a 55.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).