Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 978 | 73% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 955 | 902 | 58% | 2023-10-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 1105 | 36% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1007 | 74% | 2022-09-23 | Lost |
| 914 | 907 | 51% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1193 | 16% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 932 | 46% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 1063 | 1124 | 41% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 953 | 920 | 55% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1023 | 51% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1017 | 1058 | 44% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1022.8 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).