Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1071 | 33% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1114 | 1094 | 53% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 809 | 895 | 38% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1022 | 81% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1299 | 33% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 1126 | 19% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1275 | 13% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1086 has a 45.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).