Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 860 | 66% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 860 | 84% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1195 | 1097 | 64% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 951 | 1093 | 31% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 831 | 893 | 41% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1013 | 85% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 1126 | 19% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1310 | 15% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1058.7 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).