Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1052 | 42% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1052 | 73% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1069 | 1101 | 45% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1035 | 46% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 706 | 899 | 25% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1030 | 78% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1306 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1245 | 23% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1083.9 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).