Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 998 | 49% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1212 | 998 | 77% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 1101 | 46% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 944 | 1099 | 29% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 755 | 899 | 30% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1306 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1220 | 22% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1077.1 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).