Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 965 | 54% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1200 | 1176 | 53% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-04-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1045 | 1139 | 37% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1045 | 63% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1180 | 1283 | 36% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1116 | 51% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 989 | 55% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1045 | 1006 | 56% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 965 | 1013 | 43% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 885 | 1023 | 31% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 968 | 81% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 980 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1066 | 31% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1035.5 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).