Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (21 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 997 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1142 | 1192 | 43% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 989 | 56% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1028 | 1119 | 37% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1028 | 63% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1210 | 1265 | 42% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1106 | 1133 | 46% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 990 | 59% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 997 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 886 | 937 | 43% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 916 | 63% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 937 | 1131 | 25% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 937 | 56% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1099 | 28% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 914 | 927 | 48% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1028.2 has a 49.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).