Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (21 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1009 | 48% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1141 | 1188 | 43% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 991 | 56% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1041 | 1119 | 39% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1041 | 61% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1264 | 1264 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1110 | 1157 | 43% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1080 | 990 | 63% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1041 | 1015 | 54% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 884 | 1017 | 32% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 970 | 927 | 56% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1043 | 897 | 70% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 748 | 79% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1092 | 28% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 910 | 993 | 38% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1021 vs 1022.1 has a 49.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).