Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (25 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1039 | 35% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1148 | 1145 | 50% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1082 | 42% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1084 | 43% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 966 | 1137 | 27% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1123 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1015 | 927 | 62% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1207 | 28% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1050 | 47% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1027 | 59% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1103 | 957 | 70% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1193 | 1122 | 60% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1151 | 1219 | 40% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1063.3 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).