Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (34 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 55
Defender wins (German): 48
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1269 | 35% | 2026-03-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2026-02-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1062 | 51% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 1306 | 999 | 85% | 2026-01-02 | Won |
| 988 | 931 | 58% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 957 | 1068 | 35% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1112 | 47% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 926 | 928 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1418 | 1430 | 48% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1039 | 48% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1150 | 1176 | 46% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 979 | 1003 | 47% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 967 | 59% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1100 | 55% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1126 | 62% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1027 | 999 | 54% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1131 | 37% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 1039 | 52% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1098 | 953 | 70% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1220 | 1113 | 65% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1159 | 1070 | 63% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1040 | 68% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1056.6 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).