First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (8 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 935 | 73% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1075 | 37% | 2025-08-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-09-20 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1018 | 64% | 2024-03-30 | Tied |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2024-01-24 | Won |
| 970 | 1055 | 38% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1036.5 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).