Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 9
Defender wins (Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 980 | 1045 | 41% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1216 | 27% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1079 | 39% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1043 | 42% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1069.5 has a 40.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).