Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 5
Defender wins (Eritrean): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1036 | 44% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 913 | 53% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 963 | 1164 | 24% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 955 | 916 | 56% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 968 vs 1032.6 has a 40.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).