Careless at Bakri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (9 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1257 | 23% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 1013 | 77% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1072 | 43% | 2023-04-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1037 | 63% | 2023-03-28 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1194 | 41% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1085 | 64% | 2023-02-06 | Won |
| 1160 | 1113 | 57% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1084 | 64% | 2022-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1112.9 vs 1098.2 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).