Careless at Bakri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (9 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1256 | 23% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1072 | 44% | 2023-04-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1027 | 64% | 2023-03-28 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1180 | 49% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1073 | 68% | 2023-02-06 | Won |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1076 | 68% | 2022-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1136.2 vs 1074.4 has a 58.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).