Careless at Bakri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (9 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 969 | 54% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1210 | 31% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 998 | 79% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1042 | 50% | 2023-04-19 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1051 | 60% | 2023-03-28 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1238 | 45% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2023-02-06 | Won |
| 1215 | 1098 | 66% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1076 | 55% | 2022-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1121.9 vs 1083.9 has a 55.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).