Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 960 | 62% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 968 | 1123 | 29% | 2025-11-05 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1021 | 49% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1022 | 47% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 947 | 53% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1146 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1160 | 1003 | 71% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1022 | 69% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.4 vs 1030.1 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).