Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1121 | 26% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 944 | 54% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 973 | 1014 | 44% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 896 | 928 | 45% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1014.1 vs 1032.3 has a 47.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).