The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (19 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2026-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2026-09-16 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1040 | 46% | 2026-03-01 | D | Won |
| 1136 | 1020 | 66% | 2026-02-14 | | Won |
| 1064 | 949 | 66% | 2026-02-10 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1242 | 21% | 2026-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1315 | 14% | 2026-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2025-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2025-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-09-26 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1142 | 64% | 2025-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1089 | 57% | 2024-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1119 | 46% | 2024-07-12 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1149 | 42% | 2024-07-09 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1174 | 66% | 2023-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2023-08-06 | | Won |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2023-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1060.1 has a 49.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).