The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1033 | 43% | 2026-04-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1061 | 43% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1021 | 64% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 949 | 74% | 2026-02-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1264 | 18% | 2026-02-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1306 | 50% | 2026-01-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1023 | 59% | 2025-12-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2025-09-26 | Won |
| 1264 | 1144 | 67% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1167 | 954 | 77% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 1053 | 36% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1072 | 1162 | 37% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1206 | 1220 | 48% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1076 | 52% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1090.2 vs 1071.8 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).